This week, Ryan Howard signed a massive extension onto his contract. This 5 year $125 million contract ensures that he does not become a free agent until 2017 when he is 37 years old.
This contract is crazy. There is no reason for the Phillies to sign Howard now. If they would have waited, it is pretty much guaranteed that if they would make the same offer he'd take it. Why sign him now. What if he starts breaking down by then? Furthermore, the Phillies gave Howard a ton of money (which has Albert Pujols and Boras I mean Prince Fielder drooling). There is no way he is worth that money. There is no way he would have seen that money on an open market, which again wouldn't be until after next season anyway.
Yet, the main reason why this move is dumb is none of those. Ryan Howard is a large slugging first baseman. Pretty much every one in the oversized 1B group has broken down from the age of 31-34. This group includes the likes of Thome, Giambi, Konerko, Mo Vaughn, and many others.
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